The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Arizona Cardinals @ Cleveland Browns

Game will take place Sunday, November 1, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

ARI Money Line

-210
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$147.61
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
67.74%

CLE Money Line

+175
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$175
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
36.36%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

ARI PlaysCLE Plays ARI WsCLE Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 02.08
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.870
Average Behind and Awful 0.970.39
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.010
Ahead and Well Below Avg 3.540
Average Below Avg 1.631.02
Above Avg Below Avg 0.880
Average Above Avg 0.811.14
Behind and Awful Well 01.4
Badly Well 03
Behind but Well Well 0.770.32
Average Behind but Well 00.67
13.5110.05

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

ARI PlaysCLE Plays ARI WsCLE Ws
Group 2 Group 5 2.020.94
Group 0 Group 5 1.670.72
Group 5 Group 4 0.10
Group 3 Group 4 1.960
Group 4 Group 3 01.05
Group 2 Group 2 00.82
Group 2 Group 1 0.290.29
Group 1 Group 1 01.65
Group 0 Group 0 1.720
7.795.5

Head-to-Head History of ARI @ CLE

Day Outcome ARI Played CLE Played
Sunday, November 1, 2015 14 pt W ARI Ahead and Well Below Avg