The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

New York Giants @ New Orleans Saints

Game will take place Sunday, November 1, 2015

Our model believes that the Saints are most likely to win this game.

NYG Money Line

+150
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$150
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
40%

NO Money Line

-170
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$158.82
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
62.96%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

NYG PlaysNO Plays NYG WsNO Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 06.22
Badly Ahead and Well 00.67
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.170
Average Behind and Awful 0.720.29
Above Avg Behind and Awful 2.280.72
Ahead and Well Below Avg 0.820
Average Below Avg 2.152.31
Above Avg Below Avg 0.370.37
Badly Below Avg 01.04
Behind and Awful Well 01
Average Well 00.79
Badly Well 01.52
9.5514.98

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

NYG PlaysNO Plays NYG WsNO Ws
Group 5 Group 5 00
Group 2 Group 5 0.620.7
Group 1 Group 5 00.98
Group 0 Group 5 1.280.74
Group 3 Group 4 1.460.36
Group 0 Group 4 0.480
Group 4 Group 3 02.27
Group 2 Group 2 0.960.76
Group 2 Group 1 00.86
Group 1 Group 1 01.11
Group 5 Group 0 0.010.01
Group 0 Group 0 1.650.17
6.498.01

Head-to-Head History of NYG @ NO

Day Outcome NYG Played NO Played
Sunday, November 1, 2015 3 pt W NO Badly Below Avg
Monday, November 28, 2011 25 pt W NO Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, October 18, 2009 21 pt W NO Behind and Awful Well