The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans

Game will take place Sunday, November 1, 2015

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

TEN PlaysHOU Plays TEN WsHOU Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 05.7
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.880
Ahead and Well Below Avg 0.880
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.6
Average Below Avg 2.063.26
Above Avg Below Avg 1.180.36
Badly Below Avg 00.55
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.90
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.4
Average Above Avg 0.210
Behind and Awful Well 00.59
Badly Well 02.53
8.1514.03

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

TEN PlaysHOU Plays TEN WsHOU Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.471.42
Group 1 Group 5 00.55
Group 0 Group 5 1.151.35
Group 5 Group 4 0.540
Group 3 Group 4 1.570
Group 4 Group 3 02.88
Group 2 Group 2 01.51
Group 4 Group 1 00.12
Group 1 Group 1 0.71.09
Group 0 Group 0 1.060.31
5.539.25

Head-to-Head History of TEN @ HOU

Day Outcome TEN Played HOU Played
Sunday, November 1, 2015 14 pt W HOU Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, November 30, 2014 24 pt W HOU Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, September 15, 2013 6 pt W HOU Average Below Avg
Sunday, September 30, 2012 24 pt W HOU Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, January 1, 2012 1 pt W TEN Average Below Avg
Sunday, November 28, 2010 20 pt W HOU Behind and Awful Well
Monday, November 23, 2009 3 pt W TEN Average Above Avg