The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Game will take place Sunday, November 1, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

CIN Money Line

-110
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$190.9
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
52.38%

PIT Money Line

-110
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$190.9
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
52.38%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

CIN PlaysPIT Plays CIN WsPIT Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 04.91
Badly Ahead and Well 00.91
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.150
Above Avg Behind and Awful 2.40
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.120
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.83
Average Below Avg 3.192.62
Above Avg Below Avg 0.690
Badly Below Avg 00.8
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.70
Behind and Awful Above Avg 01.09
Average Above Avg 0.370.37
Behind and Awful Well 00.82
Average Well 0.61.24
Badly Well 01.47
Behind but Well Well 0.760.39
12.0315.49

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

CIN PlaysPIT Plays CIN WsPIT Ws
Group 4 Group 5 00.01
Group 2 Group 5 1.721.41
Group 0 Group 5 1.510.23
Group 3 Group 4 1.480
Group 4 Group 3 01.8
Group 2 Group 2 1.22.17
Group 1 Group 1 01.6
Group 5 Group 0 0.460
Group 0 Group 0 1.530
7.937.24

Head-to-Head History of CIN @ PIT

Day Outcome CIN Played PIT Played
Sunday, November 1, 2015 6 pt W CIN Behind but Well Well
Sunday, December 28, 2014 10 pt W PIT Behind and Awful Below Avg
Sunday, December 15, 2013 10 pt W PIT Badly Ahead and Well
Sunday, December 23, 2012 3 pt W CIN Ahead and Well Below Avg
Sunday, December 4, 2011 28 pt W PIT Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, December 12, 2010 16 pt W PIT Behind and Awful Above Avg
Sunday, November 15, 2009 6 pt W CIN Ahead and Well Below Avg