The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

San Diego Chargers @ Baltimore Ravens

Game will take place Sunday, November 1, 2015

Our model believes that the Ravens are most likely to win this game.

SD Money Line

+158
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$158
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
38.75%

BAL Money Line

-180
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$155.55
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
64.28%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

SD PlaysBAL Plays SD WsBAL Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.08
Badly Ahead and Well 00.86
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.60
Average Behind and Awful 00.6
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.370.78
Average Below Avg 1.332.93
Behind but Well Below Avg 1.050.56
Average Above Avg 0.940.92
Behind and Awful Well 01.42
Average Well 00.71
Badly Well 02.36
Behind but Well Well 1.170.53
8.4814.8

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

SD PlaysBAL Plays SD WsBAL Ws
Group 2 Group 5 1.41.66
Group 1 Group 5 00.31
Group 0 Group 5 0.751.36
Group 3 Group 4 1.150
Group 4 Group 3 01.78
Group 2 Group 2 00.57
Group 1 Group 1 0.622.16
Group 0 Group 0 1.681.52
5.629.39

Head-to-Head History of SD @ BAL

Day Outcome SD Played BAL Played
Sunday, November 1, 2015 3 pt W BAL Average Below Avg
Sunday, November 30, 2014 1 pt W SD Behind but Well Well