The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Detroit Lions @ Kansas City Chiefs

Game will take place Sunday, November 1, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

DET Money Line

+190
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$190
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
34.48%

KC Money Line

-230
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$143.47
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
69.69%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

DET PlaysKC Plays DET WsKC Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03
Badly Ahead and Well 01.12
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.570
Above Avg Behind and Awful 00
Ahead and Well Below Avg 0.910
Average Below Avg 2.792.52
Above Avg Below Avg 1.60.74
Behind but Well Below Avg 00
Badly Above Avg 00.48
Behind and Awful Well 01.13
Average Well 01
Badly Well 0.273.58
Behind but Well Well 1.060
9.2213.61

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

DET PlaysKC Plays DET WsKC Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.460.97
Group 1 Group 5 0.340.36
Group 0 Group 5 1.581.67
Group 3 Group 4 0.940
Group 2 Group 3 00.01
Group 4 Group 3 01.73
Group 4 Group 2 00.3
Group 2 Group 2 0.250.78
Group 2 Group 1 0.560.85
Group 1 Group 1 02.31
Group 0 Group 0 0.660.01
4.839.05

Head-to-Head History of DET @ KC

Day Outcome DET Played KC Played
Sunday, November 1, 2015 35 pt W KC Behind and Awful Ahead and Well