The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Baltimore Ravens @ Arizona Cardinals

Game will take place Monday, October 26, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

BAL Money Line

+290
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$290
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
25.64%

ARI Money Line

-350
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$128.57
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
77.77%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

BAL PlaysARI Plays BAL WsARI Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 01.95
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.650
Average Behind and Awful 0.961.67
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.950
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.340
Average Below Avg 3.575.74
Above Avg Below Avg 0.790.81
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.550
Average Above Avg 01.05
Badly Above Avg 00.59
Average Well 0.380.7
Badly Well 04.57
12.2217.11

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

BAL PlaysARI Plays BAL WsARI Ws
Group 2 Group 5 1.873.48
Group 0 Group 5 1.72
Group 5 Group 4 0.010
Group 3 Group 4 1.360
Group 4 Group 3 00.86
Group 2 Group 2 00.14
Group 2 Group 1 00.42
Group 1 Group 1 02.59
Group 0 Group 0 1.380.35
6.369.87

Head-to-Head History of BAL @ ARI

Day Outcome BAL Played ARI Played
Monday, October 26, 2015 8 pt W ARI Badly Well