The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants

Game will take place Sunday, October 25, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

DAL Money Line

+160
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$160
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
38.46%

NYG Money Line

-185
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$154.05
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
64.91%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

DAL PlaysNYG Plays DAL WsNYG Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 01.72
Badly Ahead and Well 00.97
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.060
Average Behind and Awful 00.63
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.80
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.46
Average Below Avg 4.773.94
Above Avg Below Avg 2.011.12
Behind but Well Below Avg 00
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.53
Average Well 0.340.41
Badly Well 01.08
Behind but Well Well 0.60.29
11.6211.2

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

DAL PlaysNYG Plays DAL WsNYG Ws
Group 2 Group 5 2.340.9
Group 1 Group 5 00.01
Group 0 Group 5 1.160
Group 5 Group 4 0.710
Group 3 Group 4 1.480.39
Group 4 Group 3 01.34
Group 2 Group 2 00.52
Group 0 Group 2 0.090.5
Group 1 Group 1 0.640.67
Group 0 Group 0 1.990.67
8.445.04

Head-to-Head History of DAL @ NYG

Day Outcome DAL Played NYG Played
Sunday, October 25, 2015 7 pt W NYG Average Below Avg
Sunday, November 23, 2014 3 pt W DAL Average Below Avg
Sunday, November 24, 2013 3 pt W DAL Above Avg Below Avg
Wednesday, September 5, 2012 7 pt W DAL Average Below Avg
Sunday, January 1, 2012 17 pt W NYG Badly Ahead and Well
Sunday, November 14, 2010 13 pt W DAL Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Sunday, December 6, 2009 7 pt W NYG Average Below Avg