The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Washington Redskins

Game will take place Sunday, October 25, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

TB Money Line

+150
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$150
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
40%

WAS Money Line

-170
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$158.82
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
62.96%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

TB PlaysWAS Plays TB WsWAS Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.58
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 5.120
Average Behind and Awful 0.360
Above Avg Behind and Awful 00.74
Average Below Avg 2.033.48
Above Avg Below Avg 0.711.14
Behind but Well Below Avg 1.040
Average Above Avg 1.10.67
Badly Well 01.9
Behind but Well Well 0.750
11.1411.52

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

TB PlaysWAS Plays TB WsWAS Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.621.39
Group 0 Group 5 0.751
Group 5 Group 4 0.770
Group 3 Group 4 2.20.23
Group 0 Group 4 00.68
Group 4 Group 3 01.47
Group 2 Group 2 00
Group 1 Group 2 00.22
Group 1 Group 1 0.031.64
Group 0 Group 0 1.360.04
5.766.71

Head-to-Head History of TB @ WAS

Day Outcome TB Played WAS Played
Sunday, October 25, 2015 1 pt W WAS Above Avg Behind and Awful
Sunday, November 16, 2014 20 pt W TB Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Sunday, December 12, 2010 1 pt W TB Average Above Avg
Sunday, October 4, 2009 3 pt W WAS Average Below Avg