The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Cleveland Browns @ Saint Louis Rams

Game will take place Sunday, October 25, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

CLE Money Line

+210
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$210
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
32.25%

STL Money Line

-250
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$140
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
71.42%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

CLE PlaysSTL Plays CLE WsSTL Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 04.48
Badly Ahead and Well 00.76
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 4.220
Average Behind and Awful 00.82
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.960.4
Average Below Avg 1.441.18
Above Avg Below Avg 0.410
Behind and Awful Well 00.83
Badly Well 02.85
7.0511.34

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

CLE PlaysSTL Plays CLE WsSTL Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.51.17
Group 1 Group 5 00.48
Group 0 Group 5 0.880.45
Group 3 Group 4 1.680
Group 1 Group 3 00.6
Group 4 Group 3 00.8
Group 2 Group 2 0.351.18
Group 2 Group 1 00.11
Group 1 Group 1 02.72
Group 0 Group 0 0.490.5
3.928.06

Head-to-Head History of CLE @ STL

Day Outcome CLE Played STL Played
Sunday, October 25, 2015 18 pt W STL Behind and Awful Ahead and Well