The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles

Game will take place Monday, October 19, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

NYG Money Line

+170
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$170
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
37.03%

PHI Money Line

-200
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$150
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
66.66%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

NYG PlaysPHI Plays NYG WsPHI Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 05.8
Badly Ahead and Well 00.4
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.390
Average Behind and Awful 0.610.28
Above Avg Behind and Awful 2.480
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.180
Average Below Avg 2.071.29
Above Avg Below Avg 0.610.27
Behind and Awful Above Avg 01.03
Average Above Avg 0.490.45
Behind and Awful Well 00.54
Badly Well 01.55
10.8711.65

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

NYG PlaysPHI Plays NYG WsPHI Ws
Group 5 Group 5 00.3
Group 2 Group 5 0.50.97
Group 0 Group 5 1.640
Group 5 Group 4 0.280
Group 3 Group 4 1.320
Group 0 Group 4 0.930
Group 4 Group 3 02.77
Group 5 Group 2 0.330.33
Group 2 Group 2 0.570
Group 2 Group 1 00.79
Group 1 Group 1 01.22
Group 5 Group 0 0.20
Group 0 Group 0 0.990.03
6.86.46

Head-to-Head History of NYG @ PHI

Day Outcome NYG Played PHI Played
Monday, October 19, 2015 20 pt W PHI Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, October 12, 2014 27 pt W PHI Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, October 27, 2013 8 pt W NYG Above Avg Behind and Awful
Sunday, September 30, 2012 2 pt W PHI Average Above Avg
Sunday, September 25, 2011 13 pt W NYG Above Avg Behind and Awful
Sunday, November 21, 2010 10 pt W PHI Behind and Awful Above Avg
Sunday, November 1, 2009 23 pt W PHI Behind and Awful Ahead and Well