The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Carolina Panthers @ Seattle Seahawks

Game will take place Sunday, October 18, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

CAR Money Line

+240
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$240
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
29.41%

SEA Money Line

-280
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$135.71
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
73.68%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

CAR PlaysSEA Plays CAR WsSEA Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 04.52
Badly Ahead and Well 00.39
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 4.170
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.420
Ahead and Well Below Avg 0.920
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.7
Average Below Avg 2.223.67
Above Avg Below Avg 0.821.18
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.750
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.65
Average Above Avg 00.42
Behind and Awful Well 01.16
Badly Well 01.58
Behind and Awful Behind but Well 00.71
9.3315.02

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

CAR PlaysSEA Plays CAR WsSEA Ws
Group 2 Group 5 1.972.9
Group 1 Group 5 0.680
Group 0 Group 5 1.161.83
Group 3 Group 4 2.650
Group 0 Group 4 0.540.38
Group 2 Group 3 00.54
Group 4 Group 3 02.58
Group 2 Group 2 00.33
Group 2 Group 1 01.02
Group 1 Group 1 01.28
Group 5 Group 0 00.02
Group 0 Group 0 0.791.19
7.8112.11

Head-to-Head History of CAR @ SEA

Day Outcome CAR Played SEA Played
Sunday, October 18, 2015 4 pt W CAR Behind but Well Below Avg
Saturday, January 10, 2015 14 pt W SEA Behind and Awful Above Avg
Sunday, December 5, 2010 17 pt W SEA Behind and Awful Below Avg