The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Cincinnati Bengals @ Buffalo Bills

Game will take place Sunday, October 18, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

CIN Money Line

-190
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$152.63
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
65.51%

BUF Money Line

+165
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$165
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
37.73%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

CIN PlaysBUF Plays CIN WsBUF Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 02
Badly Ahead and Well 00.67
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 4.290
Above Avg Behind and Awful 2.830.51
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.640
Average Below Avg 3.233.01
Above Avg Below Avg 0.760
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.350
Average Above Avg 0.380.38
Behind and Awful Well 02.29
Average Well 0.410.39
Badly Well 02.32
Behind but Well Well 0.540
14.4711.61

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

CIN PlaysBUF Plays CIN WsBUF Ws
Group 2 Group 5 1.122.22
Group 0 Group 5 1.21.22
Group 5 Group 4 0.210
Group 3 Group 4 1.940
Group 0 Group 4 1.080.14
Group 4 Group 3 01.6
Group 2 Group 2 0.760.5
Group 1 Group 1 02.05
Group 5 Group 0 0.210
Group 0 Group 0 2.010
8.577.75

Head-to-Head History of CIN @ BUF

Day Outcome CIN Played BUF Played
Sunday, October 18, 2015 13 pt W CIN Above Avg Behind and Awful
Sunday, October 13, 2013 3 pt W CIN Above Avg Behind and Awful