The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Washington Redskins @ New York Jets

Game will take place Sunday, October 18, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

WAS Money Line

+220
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$220
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
31.25%

NYJ Money Line

-260
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$138.46
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
72.22%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

WAS PlaysNYJ Plays WAS WsNYJ Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 04.65
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.140
Average Behind and Awful 00.5
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.590.32
Ahead and Well Below Avg 0.920
Average Below Avg 1.922.78
Above Avg Below Avg 0.410.38
Badly Below Avg 00.45
Average Well 00
Badly Well 03.27
7.0112.38

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

WAS PlaysNYJ Plays WAS WsNYJ Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.21.24
Group 1 Group 5 00.27
Group 0 Group 5 1.61.28
Group 5 Group 4 0.640
Group 3 Group 4 1.070
Group 4 Group 3 02.71
Group 5 Group 2 00
Group 2 Group 2 0.271.2
Group 0 Group 2 0.260.26
Group 1 Group 1 01.44
Group 0 Group 0 0.010.21
4.088.65

Head-to-Head History of WAS @ NYJ

Day Outcome WAS Played NYJ Played
Sunday, October 18, 2015 14 pt W NYJ Behind and Awful Ahead and Well