The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Pittsburgh Steelers @ San Diego Chargers

Game will take place Monday, October 12, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

PIT Money Line

+150
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$150
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
40%

SD Money Line

-170
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$158.82
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
62.96%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

PIT PlaysSD Plays PIT WsSD Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.91
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.080
Above Avg Behind and Awful 2.010
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.87
Average Below Avg 3.673
Above Avg Below Avg 1.070
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.750
Average Above Avg 0.290.82
Behind and Awful Well 00.6
Average Well 1.490.97
Badly Well 02.7
Behind but Well Well 1.090
13.4812.89

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

PIT PlaysSD Plays PIT WsSD Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.812.31
Group 1 Group 5 1.030.79
Group 0 Group 5 1.420
Group 5 Group 4 0.10
Group 3 Group 4 2.140
Group 4 Group 3 01.04
Group 2 Group 1 00.18
Group 1 Group 1 00.93
Group 0 Group 0 1.370.95
6.896.23

Head-to-Head History of PIT @ SD

Day Outcome PIT Played SD Played
Monday, October 12, 2015 4 pt W PIT Average Well