The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

San Fransisco 49ers @ New York Giants

Game will take place Sunday, October 11, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

SF Money Line

+240
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$240
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
29.41%

NYG Money Line

-280
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$135.71
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
73.68%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

SF PlaysNYG Plays SF WsNYG Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.93
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 4.390
Average Behind and Awful 1.210.55
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.050
Behind and Awful Below Avg 01.04
Average Below Avg 1.753.03
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.60
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.48
Behind and Awful Well 01.04
Average Well 00.25
Badly Well 00.88
Behind but Well Well 0.570.27
9.611.51

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

SF PlaysNYG Plays SF WsNYG Ws
Group 5 Group 5 0.340
Group 2 Group 5 1.180.6
Group 1 Group 5 00.37
Group 0 Group 5 00
Group 3 Group 4 1.920.51
Group 2 Group 3 00.21
Group 4 Group 3 02.16
Group 2 Group 2 00.53
Group 1 Group 2 00.67
Group 0 Group 2 00.01
Group 2 Group 1 0.240.84
Group 1 Group 1 00.58
Group 0 Group 0 3.031.14
6.737.67

Head-to-Head History of SF @ NYG

Day Outcome SF Played NYG Played
Sunday, October 11, 2015 3 pt W NYG Average Below Avg
Sunday, November 16, 2014 6 pt W SF Average Behind and Awful