The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Saint Louis Rams @ Green Bay Packers

Game will take place Sunday, October 11, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

STL Money Line

+340
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$340
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
22.72%

GB Money Line

-425
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$123.52
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
80.95%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

STL PlaysGB Plays STL WsGB Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 06.15
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 1.450
Behind and Awful Below Avg 00.83
Average Below Avg 0.943.2
Above Avg Below Avg 0.680.32
Average Above Avg 0.470.47
Behind and Awful Well 01.06
Badly Well 04.54
Average Behind but Well 00.59
3.5517.18

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

STL PlaysGB Plays STL WsGB Ws
Group 4 Group 5 00.3
Group 2 Group 5 0.632.8
Group 0 Group 5 0.750.87
Group 0 Group 4 0.20
Group 2 Group 3 00.02
Group 4 Group 3 03.42
Group 2 Group 2 00.46
Group 1 Group 1 0.413.36
Group 5 Group 0 0.10
Group 0 Group 0 0.520.28
2.6511.54

Head-to-Head History of STL @ GB

Day Outcome STL Played GB Played
Sunday, October 11, 2015 14 pt W GB Badly Well
Sunday, October 16, 2011 21 pt W GB Behind and Awful Ahead and Well