The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Game will take place Sunday, October 11, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

JAC Money Line

+125
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$125
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
44.44%

TB Money Line

-145
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$168.96
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
59.18%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

JAC PlaysTB Plays JAC WsTB Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.93
Badly Ahead and Well 00.69
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.180
Average Behind and Awful 0.70.9
Above Avg Behind and Awful 1.310
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.20
Average Below Avg 2.41.06
Above Avg Below Avg 00.81
Badly Below Avg 01.51
Badly Well 02.09
8.811.03

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

JAC PlaysTB Plays JAC WsTB Ws
Group 2 Group 5 1.611.13
Group 0 Group 5 0.20.18
Group 3 Group 4 1.320
Group 0 Group 4 00
Group 4 Group 3 01.95
Group 2 Group 3 00.11
Group 0 Group 2 00.41
Group 1 Group 2 00.18
Group 2 Group 2 00.76
Group 4 Group 2 00.2
Group 2 Group 1 00
Group 1 Group 1 01.85
Group 0 Group 0 1.210.18
4.367

Head-to-Head History of JAC @ TB

Day Outcome JAC Played TB Played
Sunday, October 11, 2015 7 pt W TB Badly Below Avg