The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

New Orleans Saints @ Philadelphia Eagles

Game will take place Sunday, October 11, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

NO Money Line

+195
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$195
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
33.89%

PHI Money Line

-235
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$142.55
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
70.14%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

NO PlaysPHI Plays NO WsPHI Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 04.34
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.80
Above Avg Behind and Awful 2.290
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.810
Average Below Avg 2.341.33
Above Avg Below Avg 1.560.38
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.91
Average Above Avg 00.31
Behind and Awful Well 00.41
Badly Well 02.51
Behind but Well Well 0.70
11.5410.22

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

NO PlaysPHI Plays NO WsPHI Ws
Group 5 Group 5 0.090.09
Group 2 Group 5 0.151.1
Group 0 Group 5 1.420
Group 3 Group 4 1.20
Group 0 Group 4 1.110
Group 4 Group 3 02.98
Group 2 Group 2 0.040
Group 2 Group 1 00.42
Group 1 Group 1 00.85
Group 5 Group 0 0.730
Group 2 Group 0 00.65
Group 0 Group 0 0.310.03
5.086.16

Head-to-Head History of NO @ PHI

Day Outcome NO Played PHI Played
Sunday, October 11, 2015 22 pt W PHI Behind and Awful Above Avg
Sunday, September 20, 2009 26 pt W NO Ahead and Well Behind and Awful