The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Cleveland Browns @ San Diego Chargers

Game will take place Sunday, October 4, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

CLE Money Line

+305
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$305
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
24.69%

SD Money Line

-365
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$127.39
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
78.49%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

CLE PlaysSD Plays CLE WsSD Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 05.59
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.460
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.810
Behind and Awful Below Avg 01.27
Average Below Avg 1.653.67
Above Avg Below Avg 0.40
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.890
Behind and Awful Well 00.65
Average Well 00.97
Badly Well 02.2
Behind but Well Well 1.180
7.4114.37

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

CLE PlaysSD Plays CLE WsSD Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.692.19
Group 1 Group 5 00.53
Group 0 Group 5 0.890
Group 3 Group 4 2.290
Group 4 Group 3 00.67
Group 2 Group 2 0.421.14
Group 4 Group 1 00.44
Group 2 Group 1 00.11
Group 1 Group 1 01.09
Group 0 Group 0 0.290.74
4.596.94

Head-to-Head History of CLE @ SD

Day Outcome CLE Played SD Played
Sunday, October 4, 2015 3 pt W SD Average Below Avg