The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

New York Giants @ Buffalo Bills

Game will take place Sunday, October 4, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

NYG Money Line

+200
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$200
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
33.33%

BUF Money Line

-240
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$141.66
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
70.58%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

NYG PlaysBUF Plays NYG WsBUF Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.61
Badly Ahead and Well 00.63
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 4.510
Average Behind and Awful 0.420.42
Above Avg Behind and Awful 2.80.46
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.150
Average Below Avg 1.912.37
Above Avg Below Avg 0.440
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.70
Average Above Avg 0.320.85
Behind and Awful Well 02.27
Average Well 00.34
Badly Well 01.96
Behind and Awful Behind but Well 00.5
12.2813.45

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

NYG PlaysBUF Plays NYG WsBUF Ws
Group 5 Group 5 00
Group 2 Group 5 0.481.18
Group 0 Group 5 0.890.71
Group 5 Group 4 0.140
Group 3 Group 4 1.780
Group 0 Group 4 0.950.12
Group 4 Group 3 02.24
Group 2 Group 2 0.770.3
Group 5 Group 2 0.20
Group 4 Group 1 00.32
Group 2 Group 1 00.76
Group 1 Group 1 01.87
Group 5 Group 0 0.020
Group 0 Group 0 1.590
6.857.53

Head-to-Head History of NYG @ BUF

Day Outcome NYG Played BUF Played
Sunday, October 4, 2015 14 pt W NYG Ahead and Well Behind and Awful