The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Redskins

Game will take place Sunday, October 4, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

PHI Money Line

-175
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$157.14
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
63.63%

WAS Money Line

+155
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$155
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
39.21%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

PHI PlaysWAS Plays PHI WsWAS Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.35
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 5.960
Above Avg Behind and Awful 2.911.23
Average Below Avg 4.574.18
Above Avg Below Avg 0.650.65
Badly Well 02.58
Behind but Well Well 0.830
Average Behind but Well 00.37
14.9412.37

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

PHI PlaysWAS Plays PHI WsWAS Ws
Group 2 Group 5 2.51.72
Group 0 Group 5 0.971.12
Group 5 Group 4 0.410
Group 3 Group 4 2.970.31
Group 0 Group 4 0.690.41
Group 4 Group 3 02.1
Group 1 Group 1 01.53
Group 0 Group 0 1.130.03
8.77.26

Head-to-Head History of PHI @ WAS

Day Outcome PHI Played WAS Played
Sunday, October 4, 2015 3 pt W WAS Average Below Avg
Saturday, December 20, 2014 3 pt W WAS Average Below Avg
Monday, September 9, 2013 6 pt W PHI Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Sunday, November 18, 2012 25 pt W WAS Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, October 16, 2011 7 pt W PHI Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Monday, November 15, 2010 31 pt W PHI Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Monday, October 26, 2009 10 pt W PHI Above Avg Behind and Awful