The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks

Game will take place Sunday, September 27, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

CHI Money Line

+925
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$925
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
9.75%

SEA Money Line

-1400
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$107.14
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
93.33%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

CHI PlaysSEA Plays CHI WsSEA Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 05.26
Badly Ahead and Well 00.45
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 2.970
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.860
Ahead and Well Below Avg 0.570
Average Below Avg 2.393.24
Above Avg Below Avg 1.611.53
Behind but Well Below Avg 0.650
Average Above Avg 0.640.26
Badly Above Avg 00.45
Behind and Awful Well 01.39
Average Well 00.54
Badly Well 01.59
9.7114.75

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

CHI PlaysSEA Plays CHI WsSEA Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.032.07
Group 0 Group 5 0.921.69
Group 5 Group 4 0.530
Group 3 Group 4 1.420
Group 0 Group 4 0.310.59
Group 2 Group 3 00.75
Group 4 Group 3 02.78
Group 4 Group 2 00.27
Group 2 Group 2 0.340.35
Group 1 Group 1 1.541.97
Group 0 Group 0 1.221.55
6.3312.07

Head-to-Head History of CHI @ SEA

Day Outcome CHI Played SEA Played
Sunday, September 27, 2015 26 pt W SEA Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, September 27, 2009 6 pt W CHI Average Below Avg