The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Saint Louis Rams

Game will take place Sunday, September 27, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

PIT Money Line

-128
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$178.12
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
56.14%

STL Money Line

+108
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$108
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
48.07%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

PIT PlaysSTL Plays PIT WsSTL Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 02.8
Badly Ahead and Well 00.76
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 4.840
Above Avg Behind and Awful 2.230.64
Ahead and Well Below Avg 1.190
Average Below Avg 3.110.93
Above Avg Below Avg 1.080
Behind and Awful Well 00.77
Badly Well 03.35
12.489.27

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

PIT PlaysSTL Plays PIT WsSTL Ws
Group 5 Group 5 0.790
Group 2 Group 5 0.61.25
Group 1 Group 5 0.720.91
Group 0 Group 5 1.40.38
Group 3 Group 4 1.530
Group 5 Group 4 0.430
Group 4 Group 3 01.18
Group 2 Group 1 00.39
Group 1 Group 1 02.34
Group 5 Group 0 0.280
Group 0 Group 0 2.080.59
7.877.07

Head-to-Head History of PIT @ STL

Day Outcome PIT Played STL Played
Sunday, September 27, 2015 6 pt W PIT Above Avg Behind and Awful