The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Jets

Game will take place Sunday, September 27, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

PHI Money Line

+113
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$112.99
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
46.94%

NYJ Money Line

-135
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$174.07
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
57.44%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

PHI PlaysNYJ Plays PHI WsNYJ Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 03.65
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 4.230
Above Avg Behind and Awful 2.490.52
Ahead and Well Below Avg 0.980
Average Below Avg 3.663.2
Above Avg Below Avg 0.910.25
Average Well 00
Badly Well 03.93
Behind but Well Well 0.950
Average Behind but Well 00.37
13.2611.95

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

PHI PlaysNYJ Plays PHI WsNYJ Ws
Group 2 Group 5 2.051.9
Group 1 Group 5 00.11
Group 0 Group 5 1.41.5
Group 0 Group 4 0.310
Group 3 Group 4 1.910
Group 5 Group 4 0.520
Group 4 Group 3 01.99
Group 1 Group 3 00.12
Group 2 Group 1 00
Group 1 Group 1 01.46
Group 0 Group 0 1.650.14
7.887.24

Head-to-Head History of PHI @ NYJ

Day Outcome PHI Played NYJ Played
Sunday, September 27, 2015 7 pt W PHI Ahead and Well Behind and Awful