The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Washington Redskins @ New York Giants

Game will take place Thursday, September 24, 2015

Our model believes that the are most likely to win this game.

WAS Money Line

+175
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$175
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
36.36%

NYG Money Line

-210
Est. Payout on $100 bet:
$147.61
Odds Based Upon Moneyline:
67.74%

Model 1 Predictions

Model 1 is a more static model than Model 3. While it does a better job of decribing the actual expected performance of each team, it is generally less predictive than Model 3. A gap between the Model 1 and Model 3 predicted wins for a team should be viewed as a sign that the team in question is undergoing significant improvement or decline.

WAS PlaysNYG Plays WAS WsNYG Ws
Behind and Awful Ahead and Well 04.13
Badly Ahead and Well 01.31
Ahead and Well Behind and Awful 3.010
Average Behind and Awful 00.63
Above Avg Behind and Awful 0.490
Average Below Avg 2.743.37
Above Avg Below Avg 0.470.75
Badly Below Avg 00.44
Behind and Awful Above Avg 00.47
Average Well 00.58
Badly Well 02.02
6.7313.75

Model 3 Predictions

Model 3 is an evolutionary model, and the groupings will change on a week-to-week basis. In general, Model 3 is more highly highly predictive than Model 1.

WAS PlaysNYG Plays WAS WsNYG Ws
Group 2 Group 5 0.290.68
Group 1 Group 5 00.27
Group 0 Group 5 0.670
Group 5 Group 4 0.540
Group 3 Group 4 1.110.29
Group 4 Group 3 02.89
Group 2 Group 2 0.280.56
Group 1 Group 2 00.34
Group 0 Group 2 0.260.26
Group 1 Group 1 01.21
Group 0 Group 0 0.010.96
3.177.51

Head-to-Head History of WAS @ NYG

Day Outcome WAS Played NYG Played
Thursday, September 24, 2015 11 pt W NYG Badly Ahead and Well
Sunday, December 14, 2014 11 pt W NYG Average Below Avg
Sunday, December 29, 2013 14 pt W NYG Badly Well
Sunday, October 21, 2012 4 pt W NYG Average Below Avg
Sunday, December 18, 2011 13 pt W WAS Ahead and Well Behind and Awful
Sunday, December 5, 2010 24 pt W NYG Behind and Awful Ahead and Well
Sunday, September 13, 2009 6 pt W NYG Average Well