The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

New York Jets @ New England Patriots

Sunday, October 25, 2015

NFL Game Center link

This game was a 7-point victory for the Patriots. The final score was NYJ 23 to NE 30.

Model 1 Analysis

Model 1 is a static model. The displayed group names will remain the same from week-to-week, at least for the duration of the current season. While Model 1 is largely less relevant in determining a pick for a game, it provides a much easier way to produce a narrative regarding a game, and therefore we feature it first when discussing games.

This game is considered a "group 3" game for the Jets. The model feels that this contest is 57.48% indicative of how New York might play in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Patriots.

NFL teams prevail in about 42% of these contests. They are often characterized by lead changes and a reasonable number of turnovers by both teams. They are broadly seen as the league average road contests and are the type of games that one should expect to see regularly while watching the NFL.

This game is considered a "group 3" home game for the Patriots. The model feels that this game is 60.59% indicative of how New England might play in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Jets.

NFL home teams prevail in about 44% of these contests. They are frequently characterized by lead changes and a reasonable number of turnovers by both teams. They are broadly seen as below league average home contests and are the type of games that one should expect to see regularly if a team is rebuilding or in decline.

Overall, within Model 1, this game is presently considered to be 77.68% relevant in predicting the next game that either New York or New England might play.

Model 3 Analysis

Model 3 is an evolutionary model. The displayed group names may change from week-to-week. The Model 3 analysis is most often considered more relevant in determining a straight pick in a pro football game.

This game is considered a "group 2" game for the Jets.

This game is considered a "group 5" home game for the Patriots.

Overall, within Model 3, this contest is presently considered to be 70.27% relevant in predicting the next game that either New York or New England might play.