The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions

Sunday, October 18, 2015

NFL Game Center link

This contest was a 3-point win for the Lions. The final score was CHI 34 to DET 37.

Model 1 Analysis

Model 1 is a static model. The displayed group names will remain the same from week-to-week, at least for the duration of the current season. While Model 1 is largely less relevant in determining a pick for a game, it provides a much easier way to produce a narrative regarding a game, and therefore we feature it first when discussing games.

This game is considered a "group 2" game for the Bears. The model feels that this match is 47.73% indicative of how Chicago might hold up in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Lions.

NFL road teams prevail in 70% of these matchs. They are often typified by a generally good quality of play by the team.

This game is considered a "group 3" home game for the Lions. The model feels that this contest is 58.92% indicative of how Detroit might hold up in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Bears.

NFL home teams prevail in about 44% of these matchs. They are frequently characterized by lead changes and a typical number of turnovers by both teams. They are broadly seen as below league average home matchs and are the type of contests that one should expect to see regularly if a team is rebuilding or in decline.

Overall, within Model 1, this game is presently considered to be 74.58% relevant in predicting the next game that either Chicago or Detroit might play.

Model 3 Analysis

Model 3 is an evolutionary model. The displayed group names may change from week-to-week. The Model 3 analysis is most often considered more relevant in determining a straight pick in a pro football game.

This contest is considered a "group 0" game for the Bears.

This game is considered a "group 4" home game for the Lions.

Overall, within Model 3, this match is presently considered to be 67.53% relevant in predicting the next contest that either Chicago or Detroit might hold up.