The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints

Thursday, October 15, 2015

NFL Game Center link

This contest was a 10-point win for the Saints. The final score was ATL 21 to NO 31.

Model 1 Analysis

Model 1 is a static model. The displayed group names will remain the same from week-to-week, at least for the duration of the current season. While Model 1 is largely less relevant in determining a pick for a game, it provides a much easier way to produce a narrative regarding a game, and therefore we feature it first when discussing games.

This game is considered a "group 3" game for the Falcons. The model feels that this match is 43.16% indicative of how Atlanta might hold up in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Saints.

NFL teams prevail in about 42% of these matchs. They are often characterized by lead changes and a typical number of turnovers by both teams. They are broadly seen as the league average road matchs and are the type of contests that one should expect to see regularly while watching the NFL.

This game is considered a "group 3" home game for the Saints. The model feels that this contest is 32% indicative of how New Orleans might hold up in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Falcons.

NFL home teams prevail in about 44% of these matchs. They are frequently characterized by lead changes and a typical number of turnovers by both teams. They are broadly seen as below league average home matchs and are the type of contests that one should expect to see regularly if a team is rebuilding or in decline.

Overall, within Model 1, this game is presently considered to be 74.43% relevant in predicting the next game that either Atlanta or New Orleans might play.

Model 3 Analysis

Model 3 is an evolutionary model. The displayed group names may change from week-to-week. The Model 3 analysis is most often considered more relevant in determining a straight pick in a pro football game.

This contest is considered a "group 0" game for the Falcons.

This game is considered a "group 5" home game for the Saints.

Overall, within Model 3, this match is presently considered to be 67.39% relevant in predicting the next contest that either Atlanta or New Orleans might hold up.