The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Minnesota Vikings @ Denver Broncos

Sunday, October 4, 2015

NFL Game Center link

This contest was a 3-point win for the Broncos. The final score was MIN 20 to DEN 23.

Model 1 Analysis

Model 1 is a static model. The displayed group names will remain the same from week-to-week, at least for the duration of the current season. While Model 1 is largely less relevant in determining a pick for a game, it provides a much easier way to produce a narrative regarding a game, and therefore we feature it first when discussing games.

This game is considered a "group 1" game for the Vikings. The model feels that this game is 61.93% indicative of how Minnesota might perform in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Broncos.

NFL teams prevail in only 1.5% of these games. They are often characterized by poor play, but typically the team has some success trying to catch up by aggressively passing the ball.

This game is considered a "group 1" home game for the Broncos. The model feels that this contest is 61.21% indicative of how Denver might perform in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Vikings.

NFL host teams prevail in about 86% of these games. They are frequently marked by good but not great football played by the home team. They are broadly seen as well above league average home games and are the type of contests that one should expect to see regularly if a team is above the average.

Overall, within Model 1, this game is presently considered to be 72.02% relevant in predicting the next game that either Minnesota or Denver might play.

Model 3 Analysis

Model 3 is an evolutionary model. The displayed group names may change from week-to-week. The Model 3 analysis is most often considered more relevant in determining a straight pick in a pro football game.

This contest is considered a "group 1" game for the Vikings.

This game is considered a "group 1" home game for the Broncos.

Overall, within Model 3, this game is presently considered to be 65.16% relevant in predicting the next contest that either Minnesota or Denver might perform.