The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Thursday, October 1, 2015

NFL Game Center link

This contest was a 3-point victory for the Ravens. The final score was BAL 23 to PIT 20.

Model 1 Analysis

Model 1 is a static model. The displayed group names will remain the same from week-to-week, at least for the duration of the current season. While Model 1 is largely less relevant in determining a pick for a game, it provides a much easier way to produce a narrative regarding a game, and therefore we feature it first when discussing games.

This game is considered a "group 0" game for the Ravens. The model feels that this game is 35.99% indicative of how Baltimore might play in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Steelers.

NFL teams prevail in 80% of these games. They are frequently typified by good play, but the road team falls behind early only to recover and have a good chance at producing a win. They are widely seen as high-quality road games and are among the most exciting contests for fans to watch.

This game is considered a "group 3" home game for the Steelers. The model feels that this contest is 32.46% indicative of how Pittsburgh might play in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Ravens.

NFL home teams prevail in about 44% of these games. They are often characterized by lead changes and an expected number of turnovers by both teams. They are widely seen as below league average home games and are the type of contests that one should expect to see regularly if a team is rebuilding or in decline.

Overall, within Model 1, this game is presently considered to be 70.57% relevant in predicting the next game that either Baltimore or Pittsburgh might play.

Model 3 Analysis

Model 3 is an evolutionary model. The displayed group names may change from week-to-week. The Model 3 analysis is most often considered more relevant in determining a straight pick in a pro football game.

This contest is considered a "group 2" game for the Ravens.

This game is considered a "group 5" home game for the Steelers.

Overall, within Model 3, this game is presently considered to be 63.78% relevant in predicting the next contest that either Baltimore or Pittsburgh might play.