The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs

Sunday, November 30, 2014

NFL Game Center link

This contest was a 13-point win for the Broncos. The final score was DEN 29 to KC 16.

Model 1 Analysis

Model 1 is a static model. The displayed group names will remain the same from week-to-week, at least for the duration of the current season. While Model 1 is largely less relevant in determining a pick for a game, it provides a much easier way to produce a narrative regarding a game, and therefore we feature it first when discussing games.

This game is considered a "group 2" game for the Broncos. The model feels that this game is 33.04% indicative of how Denver might perform in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Chiefs.

NFL road teams prevail in 70% of these games. They are often typified by a generally good quality of play by the team.

This game is considered a "group 3" home game for the Chiefs. The model feels that this contest is 30.59% indicative of how Kansas City might perform in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Broncos.

NFL home teams prevail in about 44% of these games. They are frequently characterized by lead changes and an expected number of turnovers by both teams. They are broadly seen as below league average home games and are the type of contests that one should expect to see regularly if a team is rebuilding or in decline.

Overall, within Model 1, this game is presently considered to be 61.18% relevant in predicting the next game that either Denver or Kansas City might play.

Model 3 Analysis

Model 3 is an evolutionary model. The displayed group names may change from week-to-week. The Model 3 analysis is most often considered more relevant in determining a straight pick in a pro football game.

This contest is considered a "group 3" game for the Broncos.

This game is considered a "group 4" home game for the Chiefs.

Overall, within Model 3, this game is presently considered to be 54.48% relevant in predicting the next contest that either Denver or Kansas City might perform.