The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

New England Patriots @ Green Bay Packers

Sunday, November 30, 2014

NFL Game Center link

This game was a 5-point victory for the Packers. The final score was NE 21 to GB 26.

Model 1 Analysis

Model 1 is a static model. The displayed group names will remain the same from week-to-week, at least for the duration of the current season. While Model 1 is largely less relevant in determining a pick for a game, it provides a much easier way to produce a narrative regarding a game, and therefore we feature it first when discussing games.

This game is considered a "group 1" game for the Patriots. The model feels that this contest is 55.01% indicative of how New England might play in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Packers.

NFL teams prevail in only 1.5% of these contests. They are often typified by poor play, but typically the team has some success trying to catch up by aggressively passing the ball.

This game is considered a "group 1" home game for the Packers. The model feels that this game is 56.85% indicative of how Green Bay might play in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Patriots.

NFL host teams prevail in about 86% of these contests. They are frequently characterized by good but not great football played by the home team. They are broadly seen as well above league average home contests and are the type of games that one should expect to see regularly if a team is above the average.

Overall, within Model 1, this game is presently considered to be 61.13% relevant in predicting the next game that either New England or Green Bay might play.

Model 3 Analysis

Model 3 is an evolutionary model. The displayed group names may change from week-to-week. The Model 3 analysis is most often considered more relevant in determining a straight pick in a pro football game.

This game is considered a "group 1" game for the Patriots.

This game is considered a "group 1" home game for the Packers.

Overall, within Model 3, this contest is presently considered to be 54.42% relevant in predicting the next game that either New England or Green Bay might play.