The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Arizona Cardinals @ Atlanta Falcons

Sunday, November 30, 2014

NFL Game Center link

This contest was a 11-point win for the Falcons. The final score was ARI 18 to ATL 29.

Model 1 Analysis

Model 1 is a static model. The displayed group names will remain the same from week-to-week, at least for the duration of the current season. While Model 1 is largely less relevant in determining a pick for a game, it provides a much easier way to produce a narrative regarding a game, and therefore we feature it first when discussing games.

This game is considered a "group 3" game for the Cardinals. The model feels that this game is 39.7% indicative of how Arizona might perform in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Falcons.

NFL teams prevail in about 42% of these games. They are often characterized by lead changes and an expected number of turnovers by both teams. They are broadly seen as the league average road games and are the type of contests that one should expect to see regularly while watching the NFL.

This game is considered a "group 3" home game for the Falcons. The model feels that this contest is 50.69% indicative of how Atlanta might perform in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Cardinals.

NFL home teams prevail in about 44% of these games. They are frequently characterized by lead changes and an expected number of turnovers by both teams. They are broadly seen as below league average home games and are the type of contests that one should expect to see regularly if a team is rebuilding or in decline.

Overall, within Model 1, this game is presently considered to be 61.07% relevant in predicting the next game that either Arizona or Atlanta might play.

Model 3 Analysis

Model 3 is an evolutionary model. The displayed group names may change from week-to-week. The Model 3 analysis is most often considered more relevant in determining a straight pick in a pro football game.

This contest is considered a "group 0" game for the Cardinals.

This game is considered a "group 2" home game for the Falcons.

Overall, within Model 3, this game is presently considered to be 54.37% relevant in predicting the next contest that either Arizona or Atlanta might perform.