The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

San Diego Chargers @ Baltimore Ravens

Sunday, November 30, 2014

NFL Game Center link

This game was a 1-point win for the Chargers. The final score was SD 34 to BAL 33.

Model 1 Analysis

Model 1 is a static model. The displayed group names will remain the same from week-to-week, at least for the duration of the current season. While Model 1 is largely less relevant in determining a pick for a game, it provides a much easier way to produce a narrative regarding a game, and therefore we feature it first when discussing games.

This game is considered a "group 0" game for the Chargers. The model feels that this contest is 34.54% indicative of how San Diego might perform in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Ravens.

NFL teams prevail in 80% of these contests. They are frequently marked by good play, but the road team falls behind early only to recover and have a good chance at producing a victory. They are widely seen as superb road contests and are among the most exciting games for fans to watch.

This game is considered a "group 1" home game for the Ravens. The model feels that this game is 52.73% indicative of how Baltimore might perform in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Chargers.

NFL host teams prevail in about 86% of these contests. They are often characterized by good but not great football played by the home team. They are widely seen as well above league average home contests and are the type of games that one should expect to see regularly if a team is above the average.

Overall, within Model 1, this game is presently considered to be 60.6% relevant in predicting the next game that either San Diego or Baltimore might play.

Model 3 Analysis

Model 3 is an evolutionary model. The displayed group names may change from week-to-week. The Model 3 analysis is most often considered more relevant in determining a straight pick in a pro football game.

This game is considered a "group 1" game for the Chargers.

This game is considered a "group 1" home game for the Ravens.

Overall, within Model 3, this contest is presently considered to be 53.89% relevant in predicting the next game that either San Diego or Baltimore might perform.