The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Washington Redskins @ San Fransisco 49ers

Sunday, November 23, 2014

NFL Game Center link

This game was a 4-point victory for the 49ers. The final score was WAS 13 to SF 17.

Model 1 Analysis

Model 1 is a static model. The displayed group names will remain the same from week-to-week, at least for the duration of the current season. While Model 1 is largely less relevant in determining a pick for a game, it provides a much easier way to produce a narrative regarding a game, and therefore we feature it first when discussing games.

This game is considered a "group 3" game for the Redskins. The model feels that this contest is 48.24% indicative of how Washington might play in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the 49ers.

NFL teams prevail in about 42% of these contests. They are often characterized by lead changes and an expected number of turnovers by both teams. They are broadly seen as the league average road contests and are the type of games that one should expect to see regularly while watching the NFL.

This game is considered a "group 1" home game for the 49ers. The model feels that this game is 39.8% indicative of how San Fransisco might play in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Redskins.

NFL host teams prevail in about 86% of these contests. They are frequently characterized by good but not great football played by the home team. They are broadly seen as well above league average home contests and are the type of games that one should expect to see regularly if a team is above the average.

Overall, within Model 1, this game is presently considered to be 60.3% relevant in predicting the next game that either Washington or San Fransisco might play.

Model 3 Analysis

Model 3 is an evolutionary model. The displayed group names may change from week-to-week. The Model 3 analysis is most often considered more relevant in determining a straight pick in a pro football game.

This game is considered a "group 1" game for the Redskins.

This game is considered a "group 5" home game for the 49ers.

Overall, within Model 3, this contest is presently considered to be 53.59% relevant in predicting the next game that either Washington or San Fransisco might play.