The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Saint Louis Rams @ San Diego Chargers

Sunday, November 23, 2014

NFL Game Center link

This contest was a 3-point win for the Chargers. The final score was STL 24 to SD 27.

Model 1 Analysis

Model 1 is a static model. The displayed group names will remain the same from week-to-week, at least for the duration of the current season. While Model 1 is largely less relevant in determining a pick for a game, it provides a much easier way to produce a narrative regarding a game, and therefore we feature it first when discussing games.

This game is considered a "group 3" game for the Rams. The model feels that this game is 34.28% indicative of how Saint Louis might perform in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Chargers.

NFL teams prevail in about 42% of these games. They are often marked by lead changes and a typical number of turnovers by both teams. They are broadly seen as the league average road games and are the type of contests that one should expect to see regularly while watching the NFL.

This game is considered a "group 3" home game for the Chargers. The model feels that this contest is 49.92% indicative of how San Diego might perform in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Rams.

NFL home teams prevail in about 44% of these games. They are frequently marked by lead changes and a typical number of turnovers by both teams. They are broadly seen as below league average home games and are the type of contests that one should expect to see regularly if a team is rebuilding or in decline.

Overall, within Model 1, this game is presently considered to be 60.15% relevant in predicting the next game that either Saint Louis or San Diego might play.

Model 3 Analysis

Model 3 is an evolutionary model. The displayed group names may change from week-to-week. The Model 3 analysis is most often considered more relevant in determining a straight pick in a pro football game.

This contest is considered a "group 2" game for the Rams.

This game is considered a "group 5" home game for the Chargers.

Overall, within Model 3, this game is presently considered to be 53.44% relevant in predicting the next contest that either Saint Louis or San Diego might perform.