The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears

Sunday, November 23, 2014

NFL Game Center link

This contest was a 8-point win for the Bears. The final score was TB 13 to CHI 21.

Model 1 Analysis

Model 1 is a static model. The displayed group names will remain the same from week-to-week, at least for the duration of the current season. While Model 1 is largely less relevant in determining a pick for a game, it provides a much easier way to produce a narrative regarding a game, and therefore we feature it first when discussing games.

This game is considered a "group 3" game for the Buccaneers. The model feels that this game is 46.69% indicative of how Tampa Bay might perform in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Bears.

NFL teams prevail in about 42% of these games. They are often marked by lead changes and a typical number of turnovers by both teams. They are broadly seen as the league average road games and are the type of contests that one should expect to see regularly while watching the NFL.

This game is considered a "group 3" home game for the Bears. The model feels that this contest is 53.27% indicative of how Chicago might perform in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Buccaneers.

NFL home teams prevail in about 44% of these games. They are frequently marked by lead changes and a typical number of turnovers by both teams. They are broadly seen as below league average home games and are the type of contests that one should expect to see regularly if a team is rebuilding or in decline.

Overall, within Model 1, this game is presently considered to be 59.86% relevant in predicting the next game that either Tampa Bay or Chicago might play.

Model 3 Analysis

Model 3 is an evolutionary model. The displayed group names may change from week-to-week. The Model 3 analysis is most often considered more relevant in determining a straight pick in a pro football game.

This contest is considered a "group 4" game for the Buccaneers.

This game is considered a "group 5" home game for the Bears.

Overall, within Model 3, this game is presently considered to be 53.14% relevant in predicting the next contest that either Tampa Bay or Chicago might perform.