The Konosa pro football pick system (version 1.0.0)

Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders

Thursday, November 20, 2014

NFL Game Center link

This game was a 4-point win for the Raiders. The final score was KC 20 to OAK 24.

Model 1 Analysis

Model 1 is a static model. The displayed group names will remain the same from week-to-week, at least for the duration of the current season. While Model 1 is largely less relevant in determining a pick for a game, it provides a much easier way to produce a narrative regarding a game, and therefore we feature it first when discussing games.

This game is considered a "group 3" game for the Chiefs. The model feels that this contest is 33.44% indicative of how Kansas City might perform in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Raiders.

NFL teams prevail in about 42% of these contests. They are frequently characterized by lead changes and a reasonable number of turnovers by both teams. They are widely seen as the league average road contests and are the type of games that one should expect to see regularly while watching the NFL.

This game is considered a "group 3" home game for the Raiders. The model feels that this game is 32.24% indicative of how Oakland might perform in its next game against an opponent that is similar to the Chiefs.

NFL home teams prevail in about 44% of these contests. They are often characterized by lead changes and a reasonable number of turnovers by both teams. They are widely seen as below league average home contests and are the type of games that one should expect to see regularly if a team is rebuilding or in decline.

Overall, within Model 1, this game is presently considered to be 59.71% relevant in predicting the next game that either Kansas City or Oakland might play.

Model 3 Analysis

Model 3 is an evolutionary model. The displayed group names may change from week-to-week. The Model 3 analysis is most often considered more relevant in determining a straight pick in a pro football game.

This game is considered a "group 1" game for the Chiefs.

This game is considered a "group 2" home game for the Raiders.

Overall, within Model 3, this contest is presently considered to be 52.99% relevant in predicting the next game that either Kansas City or Oakland might perform.